Category: Macroeconomics
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Oil about to trigger an inflation uptick surprise?
With the January 2024 inflation data coming out higher and hotter than expected in the US, investors are re-evaluating the battle against inflation. Is it over? Is it too early to declare victory? The Fed has said that the battle is not quite over but progress is going well. But just not well enough for…
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Inflation surprise! US CPI comes in hot at 3.1% in January
Inflation surprise! The contrarians are having their victory lap. With the markets expecting at least three 25 basis point rate cuts this year, the Fed recently disappointed some investors with a reinforcement of their “cautious approach”. Perhaps their slow approach to cutting rates is warranted. The battle against inflation isn’t done just yet. With no…
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The Fed to take a slow approach in cutting rates
The theme for 2024? Rate cuts. Central banks are widely expected to cut interest rates this year. However, how many cuts is the big debate. Oh and now when those cuts will happen. The contrarians out there are celebrating as they have said that the economy needs to take a dip to justify rate cuts.…
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![Why I am buying Japan]()
Why I am buying Japan
So I feel validated, folks. Regular readers know that I have been covering Japan, and what I believe is a great opportunity for investors. Yes you heard that right. Japan is a great opportunity in 2024. Last weekend, we had the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference. The final panel was about major investment opportunities. I heard…
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![Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain]()
Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain
Are you sick and tired of market pundits and mainstream financial media telling you the Fed is done raising then to flip saying rate cut interests have waned? Well be prepared for more. And this just means more uncertainty. The market narrative has been about the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and a successful soft landing.…
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![One of the top performing commodities of 2023 was… orange juice?!]()
One of the top performing commodities of 2023 was… orange juice?!
Yup. You read the title of this article correctly. One of the best performing commodities of 2023 was orange juice. Some of you may be surprised that orange juice even has a tradeable market, but yes, one can trade orange juice futures and CFDs. As we close out the year, let’s look at the year…
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![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
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![How will the Stock Market Perform in 2024?]()
How will the Stock Market Perform in 2024?
We are nearing the time of year when investors attempt to look ahead to safe guard or grow their holdings, so the question on everyone’s mind is how will the stock market perform in 2024. Are we in for another bullish run or is it time for an abrupt correction? How will either affect your…
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![Adjusting to New Norms: Interest Rates and Affordability Reshape the Canadian Housing Market]()
Adjusting to New Norms: Interest Rates and Affordability Reshape the Canadian Housing Market
The Canadian housing market is facing a multifaceted set of challenges that have seen a significant impact on pricing, sales activity, and overall market health. A report from Century 21 Canada highlighted that the country experienced a slight drop in prices due to the Bank of Canada’s interest rate hikes, aimed at fighting inflation. Big…
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![US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?]()
US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?
While many traders and investors wake up early on the West Coast to open charts of the stock markets, the very first markets I look at before my morning cup of coffee are the debt markets. Of course if you are a regular reader of my work then you know why I do this, and…
