Category: Macroeconomics
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![SEC Lawsuits Against Binance and Coinbase: A Damning Indictment of the Cryptocurrency Concept?]()
SEC Lawsuits Against Binance and Coinbase: A Damning Indictment of the Cryptocurrency Concept?
In an unprecedented move signaling increased scrutiny of the cryptocurrency industry, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has filed lawsuits against leading crypto exchanges, Binance and Coinbase. Allegedly, both exchanges knowingly violated securities laws, prompting the debate: is the entire concept of cryptocurrency fundamentally flawed, or even a sham? The SEC contends that Binance,…
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![Short sellers still strong at TD Bank – are we missing something?]()
Short sellers still strong at TD Bank – are we missing something?
Short sellers still have a concerning percentage of the share float at TD Bank (TD.T), totalling 22% as of May 31, 2023 according to the Short Sale Trading Summary Report published by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada or IIROC. TD Bank already made headlines when the Canadian-based financial institution was reported as the…
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![Japan’s Nikkei near 20 month highs, closes above 30,000]()
Japan’s Nikkei near 20 month highs, closes above 30,000
While US stock markets, European stock markets, and many other Asian stock markets continue to chop around and range, one market in Asia is on a tear. Japan is drawing in investor money and it really all began with the Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett. I recently gave my thoughts and technical levels on Japan…
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![Home Depot posts worst revenue miss in 20 years, signs of recession?]()
Home Depot posts worst revenue miss in 20 years, signs of recession?
Home Depot (HD) reported fiscal first quarter 2023 earnings which mostly missed estimates and has raised concerns that the consumer is being tapped out. Put it another way in our consumer based economy, are signs of an economic slowdown or recession increasing? This has been on the mind of investors ever since the Fed has…
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![First Republic Bank troubles weigh in on stock markets]()
First Republic Bank troubles weigh in on stock markets
As earnings continue to come out mixed, and raising the probabilities of an upcoming recession, leave it to the regional banks to once again take center stage. Many analysts warned that the regional bank crisis is not over when you consider the fact that deposits are shrinking, lending (a bank’s primary business) is slowing, and…
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![Short bet against Canadian Bank TD increases by 45%]()
Short bet against Canadian Bank TD increases by 45%
Two weeks ago, Canadian bank Toronto-Dominion (TD) became the world’s most shorted bank. Hedge fund bets against TD hit $4.2 billion. This news raised some concerns for Canadians as hedge funds are clearly shorting TD for some reason. Is it a bet against the Canadian economy? Most analysts agree the short is a sympathy play…
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![Yensanity! Why the Bank of Japan matters!]()
Yensanity! Why the Bank of Japan matters!
Months ago, I warned readers that the Bank of Japan is the most important central bank to be watching. I even did a video explaining why every trader must be watching the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Nobody really cared much about the BoJ since their monetary policy meetings never changed. But things could be changing.…
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![The European Central Bank is back to positive rates!]()
The European Central Bank is back to positive rates!
As we continue the month of central banks, we have seen Australia and Canada raise interest rates, and now Europe joins the party. The European Central Bank (ECB) announced a 75 basis point interest rate hike, taking its benchmark deposit rate to 0.75%. This 75 basis point hike was already priced in as the markets…
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![The Fed raises rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. What does this mean for stock markets?]()
The Fed raises rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. What does this mean for stock markets?
In one word: bullish. The stock markets are loving the hawkish Fed. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. The stock markets largely had this rate hike priced in. Fed futures had a near 100% probability of a 75 basis point hike and the Fed tends…
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![Have US stock markets established their bear market lows?]()
Have US stock markets established their bear market lows?
Have US stock markets bottomed? From a technical analysis perspective: yes, there is a very good chance they have. From a fundamental perspective: it gets complicated. If we consider fundamentals, there is a lot which can weigh in on markets. Some things to consider are: Earnings, China, Russia, Inflation, Interest Rates, Supply Chain Issues, European…
