Tag: bonds
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Are stock markets about to crash hard?
At time of writing the US stock markets are green for the day in an attempt to end four red days in a row. However, the green is slowly dissipating with a sell off. In fact, the Nasdaq has already gone red. My readers know that I like to rely on technicals. We will get…
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Stocks sink as yields hit 2024 highs on rate cut bets cooling
In Q1 2024 everything was moving up on interest rate cut bets. Q2 2024 has started off sour. It seems rate cut hopes keep getting pushed down further. The 10 year treasury yield is rising as bets on the June rate cuts cool down. The market is still expecting a 62% chance of a cut…
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![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
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![Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!]()
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!
With the recent events in the middle east, many traders and investors were curious to see how stock markets would open. Maybe a surprise to some, but stock markets opened higher and are continuing their strength. Market risk has appeared to have disappeared with the Dow Jones up over 200 points on the day. To…
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![The Fed raises rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. What does this mean for stock markets?]()
The Fed raises rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. What does this mean for stock markets?
In one word: bullish. The stock markets are loving the hawkish Fed. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. The stock markets largely had this rate hike priced in. Fed futures had a near 100% probability of a 75 basis point hike and the Fed tends…
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![Is this the best way to invest in gold and silver?]()
Is this the best way to invest in gold and silver?
We have a major week ahead with the Federal Reserve and potential confirmation of a US recession. Is now the time to look at gold? It gets a bit more complicated. Sure, money can run into gold when there is fear and uncertainty, but there are some typical money flow signs that I watch for.…
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![Amazon.com (AMZN.NASDAQ): Corporate welfare over welfare capitalism]()
Amazon.com (AMZN.NASDAQ): Corporate welfare over welfare capitalism
Jeff Bezos started Amazon in his garage with a couple hundred grand from his parents. This ex-hedge fund manager turned internet titan and evil king-making gnome has often been lauded for his customer-focused business strategies, aggressive business development and industry prowess, but how challenging is the journey when you’re a 1500lb gorilla on someone else’s…
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![Friday Recap: Canada’s Economic Slowdown]()
Friday Recap: Canada’s Economic Slowdown
Bond Sales Reach Record Highs With central banks cutting rates and yields dropping, investors have fled to other alternatives, primarily corporate bonds to get returns. Over $2.43 trillion worth of bonds have been sold this year so far, and many have scored double-digit returns on bond sales. For instance, here’s a story about a UBS…
