Tag: fed
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Bitcoin bounces at key support ahead of Fed decision.
This article will provide an update on the current technical set up on Bitcoin. Before we jump into the charts, let’s talk about some headlines making their way around mainstream financial media. The world’s largest cryptocurrency dropped to a one week low as traders and investors awaited CPI and the Fed decision. CPI for the…
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Stocks sink as yields hit 2024 highs on rate cut bets cooling
In Q1 2024 everything was moving up on interest rate cut bets. Q2 2024 has started off sour. It seems rate cut hopes keep getting pushed down further. The 10 year treasury yield is rising as bets on the June rate cuts cool down. The market is still expecting a 62% chance of a cut…
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![The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally]()
The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally
Ah the last two weeks of 2023. The Christmas to New Years holiday trading tends to be quiet in terms of economic data and corporate press releases. Most institutional traders are on holidays. Retail traders have nothing better to do. Because of the lower liquidity, these few weeks tend to see either range bound price…
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![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
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![US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?]()
US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?
While many traders and investors wake up early on the West Coast to open charts of the stock markets, the very first markets I look at before my morning cup of coffee are the debt markets. Of course if you are a regular reader of my work then you know why I do this, and…
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![Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!]()
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!
With the recent events in the middle east, many traders and investors were curious to see how stock markets would open. Maybe a surprise to some, but stock markets opened higher and are continuing their strength. Market risk has appeared to have disappeared with the Dow Jones up over 200 points on the day. To…
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![Major technical reversal pattern close to triggering on stock markets post Federal Reserve!]()
Major technical reversal pattern close to triggering on stock markets post Federal Reserve!
“Interest rates will remain higher for longer”. This is what most analysts can agree upon after yesterday’s Federal Reserve conference. It was quite a strange one. Powell did not want to give concrete answers to questions regarding if the Fed is done with hikes. But we know that there is one more rate hike coming…
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![The moment of truth for silver!]()
The moment of truth for silver!
It is now make or break for silver. The precious metal was on fire in the second half of August seeing five days of continuous rally followed by a few more green days taking the price briefly over $25. This zone turned out to be resistance and silver prices have given up those gains. We…
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![Jerome Powell signals higher rates may be needed]()
Jerome Powell signals higher rates may be needed
When Nvidia blew out earnings, many saw it as a catalyst to see stock markets break out higher. However, certain technical patterns and levels I have been highlighting in my Market Moment articles told my readers and I that the downtrend was not over. This, I believe, is the power of technical analysis. But fundamental…
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![The Federal Reserve raises interest rates to highest level since 2001]()
The Federal Reserve raises interest rates to highest level since 2001
The Federal Reserve previously said that there will be two more interest rate hikes by the end of the year. Well the Fed has kept their promise so far by raising interest rates in the July meeting, taking rates to 5.25%-5.50%, the highest level since 2001. A 25 basis point hike which was expected by…
