Tag: Federal Reserve
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Stock Markets and Gold shaky as bond yields rise
Besides Nvidia carrying the Nasdaq, the other major US indices have been a bit shaky. We will jump into the charts below. And as usual, the prime suspect is the action in the bond markets. Of course this has a lot to do with the Federal Reserve and interest rate cuts. At time of writing,…
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Stocks sink as yields hit 2024 highs on rate cut bets cooling
In Q1 2024 everything was moving up on interest rate cut bets. Q2 2024 has started off sour. It seems rate cut hopes keep getting pushed down further. The 10 year treasury yield is rising as bets on the June rate cuts cool down. The market is still expecting a 62% chance of a cut…
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Gold hits record highs. Do not FOMO!
Gold prices against fiat currencies are printing new all time record highs. The only pairing which has not yet printed record highs is gold against the Swiss Franc, but it is almost in new record high territory. In this article, I will provide a technical game plan to play gold. But first off, let’s talk…
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Inflation surprise! US CPI comes in hot at 3.1% in January
Inflation surprise! The contrarians are having their victory lap. With the markets expecting at least three 25 basis point rate cuts this year, the Fed recently disappointed some investors with a reinforcement of their “cautious approach”. Perhaps their slow approach to cutting rates is warranted. The battle against inflation isn’t done just yet. With no…
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![Why I am buying Japan]()
Why I am buying Japan
So I feel validated, folks. Regular readers know that I have been covering Japan, and what I believe is a great opportunity for investors. Yes you heard that right. Japan is a great opportunity in 2024. Last weekend, we had the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference. The final panel was about major investment opportunities. I heard…
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![Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain]()
Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain
Are you sick and tired of market pundits and mainstream financial media telling you the Fed is done raising then to flip saying rate cut interests have waned? Well be prepared for more. And this just means more uncertainty. The market narrative has been about the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and a successful soft landing.…
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![The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally]()
The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally
Ah the last two weeks of 2023. The Christmas to New Years holiday trading tends to be quiet in terms of economic data and corporate press releases. Most institutional traders are on holidays. Retail traders have nothing better to do. Because of the lower liquidity, these few weeks tend to see either range bound price…
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![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
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![US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?]()
US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?
While many traders and investors wake up early on the West Coast to open charts of the stock markets, the very first markets I look at before my morning cup of coffee are the debt markets. Of course if you are a regular reader of my work then you know why I do this, and…
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![Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!]()
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!
With the recent events in the middle east, many traders and investors were curious to see how stock markets would open. Maybe a surprise to some, but stock markets opened higher and are continuing their strength. Market risk has appeared to have disappeared with the Dow Jones up over 200 points on the day. To…
