14 November 2024

Tag: Federal Reserve

Yensanity! Why the Bank of Japan matters!

Months ago, I warned readers that the Bank of Japan is the most important central bank to be watching. I even did a video explaining why every trader must be watching the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Nobody really cared much about the BoJ since their monetary policy meetings never changed. But things could be changing.…

25 October 2022
Brace yourself! A major central bank week is ahead!

As markets still feel the pain after last week’s worst sell off since 2020, more volatility is ahead. As a technical analyst, many charts which will determine where stocks go are either at major support or at resistance. Hopeful for a turnaround but that will depend on the fundamental catalyst. It is a major central…

19 September 2022
Stock markets pop on ‘goldilocks’ jobs report

US nonfarm payrolls (NFP) was the anticipated data point for this week. NFP rose by 315,000 jobs in August just below the estimate for 318,000. This is well off the 526,000 print in July and is the lowest monthly gain since April 2021. The unemployment rate rose to 3.7%, two-tenths higher than expectations. Average hourly…

2 September 2022
Falcon Gold (FG.V), junior gold focusing on Newfoundland with big upside.

Bloodbath. The markets are getting hit hard. An everything sell off triggered by Jerome Powell telling markets that interest rates will rise and remain high for longer which will cause “some pain” to the US economy. Markets have quickly shifted back to the inflation narrative. The recession narrative was giving markets a boost as investors…

31 August 2022
The Fed raises rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. What does this mean for stock markets?

In one word: bullish. The stock markets are loving the hawkish Fed. The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates by 75 basis points for the second consecutive time. The stock markets largely had this rate hike priced in. Fed futures had a near 100% probability of a 75 basis point hike and the Fed tends…

28 July 2022
Have US stock markets established their bear market lows?

Have US stock markets bottomed? From a technical analysis perspective: yes, there is a very good chance they have. From a fundamental perspective: it gets complicated. If we consider fundamentals, there is a lot which can weigh in on markets. Some things to consider are: Earnings, China, Russia, Inflation, Interest Rates, Supply Chain Issues, European…

20 July 2022
Stock markets are scary, but this market truly is frightening!

Stock markets are looking scary, but the debt markets are truly worrying. Before we get to the instability in debt, and what that means, let’s breakdown what is affecting markets. Not a surprise that inflation numbers came out higher than expected. Peak inflation narrative is quickly becoming the new transitory inflation. You will hear this…

15 June 2022
Here’s why gold is heading higher and how you can profit from it: SIC.V, GMTN.TO and NSR.TO

The gold price has recently taken a hit. No problemo. The sell off occurred at a major resistance zone, and there is a chance the US Dollar might cause more pullback. The real move has been in the bond market. Interest Rates are spiking. The 10 year yield is above 2.40%. What has kept gold…

30 March 2022
The U.S. Fed and market liquidity or welcome to the everything bubble

A translation of this article is available in Chinese at our partner website, NAI500 here. Before I get into the U.S. Fed and its market liquidity shenanigans, I should explain something that changed the way I view the world, kinda like the time I discovered Disney shoved lemmings off a cliff for ratings, almost making…

14 December 2019