Tag: inflation
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Gold price contracts hit highest level ever as US debt rockets
Hold up Bitcoin! Gold wants to join in on the party! Gold futures for April have hit $2,126.30 per ounce, the highest level dating back to the contract’s creation in 1974. Yes folks, gold has hit its highest level ever. When adjusted for inflation, gold set an all-time high of about $3,200 in 1980, according…
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Inflation surprise! US CPI comes in hot at 3.1% in January
Inflation surprise! The contrarians are having their victory lap. With the markets expecting at least three 25 basis point rate cuts this year, the Fed recently disappointed some investors with a reinforcement of their “cautious approach”. Perhaps their slow approach to cutting rates is warranted. The battle against inflation isn’t done just yet. With no…
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![Why I am buying Japan]()
Why I am buying Japan
So I feel validated, folks. Regular readers know that I have been covering Japan, and what I believe is a great opportunity for investors. Yes you heard that right. Japan is a great opportunity in 2024. Last weekend, we had the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference. The final panel was about major investment opportunities. I heard…
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![Stocks down as US inflation comes in hotter than expected 01-11-24]()
Stocks down as US inflation comes in hotter than expected 01-11-24
The TSX edged down this morning to 20889.49. TSX Venture also fell slightly to 549.56 while the CSE Composite bumped slightly to 170.12. Inflation was more than expected in December, giving investors pause as this will impact the likelihood of a soft economic landing in 2024. Battery Metals, Information Technology and Energy were the only…
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![Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain]()
Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain
Are you sick and tired of market pundits and mainstream financial media telling you the Fed is done raising then to flip saying rate cut interests have waned? Well be prepared for more. And this just means more uncertainty. The market narrative has been about the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and a successful soft landing.…
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![The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally]()
The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally
Ah the last two weeks of 2023. The Christmas to New Years holiday trading tends to be quiet in terms of economic data and corporate press releases. Most institutional traders are on holidays. Retail traders have nothing better to do. Because of the lower liquidity, these few weeks tend to see either range bound price…
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![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
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![Bitcoin to $50,000 by year end?]()
Bitcoin to $50,000 by year end?
Back on October 24th 2023, I laid out my technical analysis for Bitcoin and told the bulls that a major breakout had triggered. The breakout zone was the $31,000 zone and I expected upwards momentum while the price of Bitcoin remained above this price level. In that article, my next resistance zone came in at…
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![Gold rally faces a key test]()
Gold rally faces a key test
On October 3rd 2023, I published an article which caused some fright among metal bulls. I outlined how the technicals indicated that silver could go below $20 and gold below $1800. I outlined key technical levels which had been breached and thus led to sellers piling in. Here are the charts which I put up…
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![US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?]()
US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?
While many traders and investors wake up early on the West Coast to open charts of the stock markets, the very first markets I look at before my morning cup of coffee are the debt markets. Of course if you are a regular reader of my work then you know why I do this, and…
