Tag: interest rates
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![The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally]()
The Trading Desk: Commodities and the Santa Claus Rally
Ah the last two weeks of 2023. The Christmas to New Years holiday trading tends to be quiet in terms of economic data and corporate press releases. Most institutional traders are on holidays. Retail traders have nothing better to do. Because of the lower liquidity, these few weeks tend to see either range bound price…
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![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
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![Bitcoin to $50,000 by year end?]()
Bitcoin to $50,000 by year end?
Back on October 24th 2023, I laid out my technical analysis for Bitcoin and told the bulls that a major breakout had triggered. The breakout zone was the $31,000 zone and I expected upwards momentum while the price of Bitcoin remained above this price level. In that article, my next resistance zone came in at…
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![Gold rally faces a key test]()
Gold rally faces a key test
On October 3rd 2023, I published an article which caused some fright among metal bulls. I outlined how the technicals indicated that silver could go below $20 and gold below $1800. I outlined key technical levels which had been breached and thus led to sellers piling in. Here are the charts which I put up…
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![US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?]()
US retail sales blow expectations! What economic slowdown?
While many traders and investors wake up early on the West Coast to open charts of the stock markets, the very first markets I look at before my morning cup of coffee are the debt markets. Of course if you are a regular reader of my work then you know why I do this, and…
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![Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!]()
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!
With the recent events in the middle east, many traders and investors were curious to see how stock markets would open. Maybe a surprise to some, but stock markets opened higher and are continuing their strength. Market risk has appeared to have disappeared with the Dow Jones up over 200 points on the day. To…
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![Silver below $20 and Gold below $1800?]()
Silver below $20 and Gold below $1800?
On September 19th 2023, I published an article titled “The moment of truth for silver!“. I really meant it. The price of silver was contained between two major trendlines and technical traders were waiting for the break. What got me worried was the fact that everyone’s favorite white precious metal had retraced hard after briefly…
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![JP Morgan lead analyst pegs $150 price target for Brent Crude, are we in an oil markets supercycle?]()
JP Morgan lead analyst pegs $150 price target for Brent Crude, are we in an oil markets supercycle?
Oil markets are making headlines, but if you have been a reader of Equity Guru, then you were given the heads up back in late July 2023. My outlook and technical analysis play by play was given in subsequent articles and chart attack videos. Our first target has been hit, and prices are pulling back…
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![Major technical reversal pattern close to triggering on stock markets post Federal Reserve!]()
Major technical reversal pattern close to triggering on stock markets post Federal Reserve!
“Interest rates will remain higher for longer”. This is what most analysts can agree upon after yesterday’s Federal Reserve conference. It was quite a strange one. Powell did not want to give concrete answers to questions regarding if the Fed is done with hikes. But we know that there is one more rate hike coming…
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![Stock markets fall under pressure as oil prices hit their highest levels in 2023]()
Stock markets fall under pressure as oil prices hit their highest levels in 2023
I have been updating my readers on the technical pattern on oil. The energy sector is bullish and the technicals are indicating more upside. The stock markets are falling on fears of an inflation surprise uptick. Oil is the lifeblood of the economy and higher oil prices means higher transportation costs. Costs which will be…
