Tag: Powell
-
Japanese $62 billion currency intervention FAILS
After months of speculation from currency traders, the Bank of Japan confirmed that they did a currency intervention to strengthen the falling Japanese Yen. The Bank of Japan confirmed its first currency intervention since 2022 with $62 billion being used to prop the Yen between April 26th 2024 and May 29th 2024. Here was the…
-
Are stock markets about to crash hard?
At time of writing the US stock markets are green for the day in an attempt to end four red days in a row. However, the green is slowly dissipating with a sell off. In fact, the Nasdaq has already gone red. My readers know that I like to rely on technicals. We will get…
-
Stocks sink as yields hit 2024 highs on rate cut bets cooling
In Q1 2024 everything was moving up on interest rate cut bets. Q2 2024 has started off sour. It seems rate cut hopes keep getting pushed down further. The 10 year treasury yield is rising as bets on the June rate cuts cool down. The market is still expecting a 62% chance of a cut…
-
![Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain]()
Stocks extend slide to start of the year as Fed path remains uncertain
Are you sick and tired of market pundits and mainstream financial media telling you the Fed is done raising then to flip saying rate cut interests have waned? Well be prepared for more. And this just means more uncertainty. The market narrative has been about the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and a successful soft landing.…
-
![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
-
![Gold rally faces a key test]()
Gold rally faces a key test
On October 3rd 2023, I published an article which caused some fright among metal bulls. I outlined how the technicals indicated that silver could go below $20 and gold below $1800. I outlined key technical levels which had been breached and thus led to sellers piling in. Here are the charts which I put up…
-
![The moment of truth for silver!]()
The moment of truth for silver!
It is now make or break for silver. The precious metal was on fire in the second half of August seeing five days of continuous rally followed by a few more green days taking the price briefly over $25. This zone turned out to be resistance and silver prices have given up those gains. We…
-
![Stock markets fall under pressure as oil prices hit their highest levels in 2023]()
Stock markets fall under pressure as oil prices hit their highest levels in 2023
I have been updating my readers on the technical pattern on oil. The energy sector is bullish and the technicals are indicating more upside. The stock markets are falling on fears of an inflation surprise uptick. Oil is the lifeblood of the economy and higher oil prices means higher transportation costs. Costs which will be…
-
![Jerome Powell signals higher rates may be needed]()
Jerome Powell signals higher rates may be needed
When Nvidia blew out earnings, many saw it as a catalyst to see stock markets break out higher. However, certain technical patterns and levels I have been highlighting in my Market Moment articles told my readers and I that the downtrend was not over. This, I believe, is the power of technical analysis. But fundamental…
-
![The Federal Reserve raises interest rates to highest level since 2001]()
The Federal Reserve raises interest rates to highest level since 2001
The Federal Reserve previously said that there will be two more interest rate hikes by the end of the year. Well the Fed has kept their promise so far by raising interest rates in the July meeting, taking rates to 5.25%-5.50%, the highest level since 2001. A 25 basis point hike which was expected by…
