Tag: recession
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Are stock markets about to crash hard?
At time of writing the US stock markets are green for the day in an attempt to end four red days in a row. However, the green is slowly dissipating with a sell off. In fact, the Nasdaq has already gone red. My readers know that I like to rely on technicals. We will get…
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![Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.]()
Dow Jones hits new record highs as Fed dot plot shows three rate cuts in 2024.
Recent price action on US stock markets indicated that investors were expecting a dovish Fed. In fact, we have already discussed the major shift in Fed Fund Futures probabilities being the factor in stock markets rising. Even with Powell indicating that the Fed will be pragmatic and more rate hikes may be needed, it seems…
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![Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!]()
Billionaire hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Jones sees 12% stock market drop!
With the recent events in the middle east, many traders and investors were curious to see how stock markets would open. Maybe a surprise to some, but stock markets opened higher and are continuing their strength. Market risk has appeared to have disappeared with the Dow Jones up over 200 points on the day. To…
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![Stock markets rattled as US banks get downgraded]()
Stock markets rattled as US banks get downgraded
Recession. Inflation. Soft landing. Interest Rates. The Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve is near the end of rate hikes. Earnings. Geopolitics. I am sure I have forgotten something as we look at all the factors impacting market narratives. Oh yes! Do you remember a few months ago when regional banks were making headlines? A few…
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![The Federal Reserve raises interest rates to highest level since 2001]()
The Federal Reserve raises interest rates to highest level since 2001
The Federal Reserve previously said that there will be two more interest rate hikes by the end of the year. Well the Fed has kept their promise so far by raising interest rates in the July meeting, taking rates to 5.25%-5.50%, the highest level since 2001. A 25 basis point hike which was expected by…
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![Short sellers still strong at TD Bank – are we missing something?]()
Short sellers still strong at TD Bank – are we missing something?
Short sellers still have a concerning percentage of the share float at TD Bank (TD.T), totalling 22% as of May 31, 2023 according to the Short Sale Trading Summary Report published by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada or IIROC. TD Bank already made headlines when the Canadian-based financial institution was reported as the…
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![Home Depot posts worst revenue miss in 20 years, signs of recession?]()
Home Depot posts worst revenue miss in 20 years, signs of recession?
Home Depot (HD) reported fiscal first quarter 2023 earnings which mostly missed estimates and has raised concerns that the consumer is being tapped out. Put it another way in our consumer based economy, are signs of an economic slowdown or recession increasing? This has been on the mind of investors ever since the Fed has…
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![Fed hawkish pause, regional banks tanks, and gold nears record highs!]()
Fed hawkish pause, regional banks tanks, and gold nears record highs!
Well what developments in the past 24 hours. Investors and traders were anticipating the Federal Reserve meeting. A 25 basis point hike was expected along with some statement hinting at no more interest rate hikes. Well, the market got the 25 basis point hike (the Fed’s 10th rate hike in a row), and some sort…
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![Does this weeks earnings point to a recession?]()
Does this weeks earnings point to a recession?
The US stock markets continue their chop fest and range as the rally to start 2023 is set to be tested by first quarter earnings. Investors have been expecting earnings to be somewhat mixed or tepid as higher interest rates begin showing their impact on the real economy and resulting in an economic slowdown or…
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![Falcon Gold (FG.V), junior gold focusing on Newfoundland with big upside.]()
Falcon Gold (FG.V), junior gold focusing on Newfoundland with big upside.
Bloodbath. The markets are getting hit hard. An everything sell off triggered by Jerome Powell telling markets that interest rates will rise and remain high for longer which will cause “some pain” to the US economy. Markets have quickly shifted back to the inflation narrative. The recession narrative was giving markets a boost as investors…
